Covid-19 increase post-Christmas?
It is possible that the data reported by government (https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/) is not quite correct, with the Christmas and New Year holiday, but both North Somerset and Bristol's numbers of confirmed Covid-19 cases have started to climb in the days after Christmas (see plot). In both areas, numbers had dropped to a lower level over December (100 cases per day in Bristol and less than 50 cases per day in North Somerset), after really high rates in October and November, but now appear to be picking up again. After the last blog, suggesting that the 5-day Christmas break was not a great idea, we had the holiday curtailed to one day - and it was hugely disappointing not to be able to travel to Scotland to be with family. However, if we see these accelerating numbers of cases into January, we will have to accept that we needed a lockdown earlier.