What is happening with Covid-19 in North Somerset? Part 5 – don’t go to Bristol?

So, what’s been happening to the number of Covid-19 cases in North Somerset and Bristol according to government figures over the last month?  Well, in North Somerset it has been steady as you go, with new cases confirmed at a rate of less than one a day (0.8 per day).  After the horror rate of nearly seven new cases a day through April and May, this is very good news, even if we have ended up with a total recorded rate of 434 cases per 100000 people. 



The picture for Bristol is rather more concerning at present – see the graph.  Over July, when the figures included both NHS and private test results, new cases were recorded at a rate of three every two days.  This doubled to three a day for the second half of July and since the beginning of August has doubled again to nearly seven new cases a day.  OK, the total rate of infection is still less than North Somerset, at 317 cases per 100000 people, but Bristol is catching up fast.  This is evidence of an acceleration in infection and one must question if it is worth going to Bristol on a casual basis.  If you work in Bristol, I would be social distancing, wearing a mask when out and about and washing hands regularly.

Oh, and by the way, the case rate in Bristol now is the same as in North Somerset in May.  The lines don’t seem the same, but that is just the different scales in the two graphs.


Remember the Covid-19 app (see: https://covid.joinzoe.com/).  PLEASE SIGN UP AND RECORD EVERY DAY, AT ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME.  The data collected from over 4 million citizens can now be used to predict developing hotspots, hopefully not Bristol.  

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